Poll says Bernie Sanders is beating Joe Biden in the Pa. primary, and the race against Trump is tight

Jonathan Tamai reports for the Philadelphia Inquirer

Bernie Sanders is beating Joe Biden in the Pa. primary, poll says, and the race against Trump is tight
TOM GRALISH / STAFF PHOTOGRAPHER

Surging Democratic front-runner Bernie Sanders is leading the party’s primary contests in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, a new poll finds, while President Donald Trump is running neck-and-neck with almost all of the Democratic contenders in those critical battleground states.

The poll, conducted before Sanders’ victory in the Nevada caucuses Saturday, suggests that only marginal differences separate the Democratic candidates when it comes to their strength against Trump. And it portends another general election that could be decided by a handful of votes in any one of those swing states.

The poll found Trump trailing all the Democratic candidates in Michigan, but virtually tied with each of them in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

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If the rest of the electoral map stays the same as in 2016, Democrats would need to win all three states to defeat Trump.

“All three states are up for grabs in 2020,” said Barry Burden, director of the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Elections Research Center, which conducted the poll. “Trump is in a more difficult position in Michigan than the other two states, but each of the Midwest battlegrounds could be won by either party, almost regardless of who becomes the Democratic nominee.”

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Wind energy gives American farmers a new crop to sell in tough times

Elizabeth Weise reports for USA TODAY

CLOUD COUNTY, Kan. – Across this central northern county, wind turbine blades slowly slice the cold air over winter-brown fields. The 67 wind turbines of the Meridian Way Wind Farm straddle dozens of farms and ranches, following the contours of the land and the eddies of the wind above it. The turbines are tall enough that their size is hard to gauge from cars driving by.

Their impact on the surrounding landowners is less hard to measure.

“I would say the absence of financial stress has been a real game-changer for me,” said Tom Cunningham, who has three turbines on his land and declined to give his age, saying only he is “retired.” “The turbines make up for the (crop) export issues we’ve been facing.”

In an increasingly precarious time for farmers and ranchers, some who live in the nation’s wind belt, have a new commodity to sell – access to their wind. Wind turbine leases, generally 30 to 40 years long, provide the landowners with yearly income that, although small, helps make up for economic dips brought by drought, floods, tariffs and the ever-fluctuating price of the crops and livestock they produce.

Each of the landowners whose fields either host turbines or who are near enough to receive a “good neighbor” payment, can earn $3,000 to $7,000 yearly for the small area – about the size of a two-car garage – each turbine takes up.

Cunningham’s lease payments allowed him to pay off his farm equipment and other loans. The median income in Cloud County is about $44,000, according to the 2018 U.S. Census.

“Some of the farmers around here refer to the turbines as ‘their second wife.’ That’s because a lot of times, farm wives have to work in town to make ends meet,” he said.

Rural areas across the USA have long experienced population declines, slow employment growth and higher poverty rates than urban areas, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Things have been especially difficult recently. U.S. farm bankruptcy rates jumped 20% in 2019, to an eight-year high. Wisconsin saw 48 Chapter 12 filings, or family farm bankruptcies, over the 12-month period ending in September, the nation’s highest rate. Georgia, Nebraska and Kansas were next, each with 37 filings. Minnesota, California, Texas, Iowa, Pennsylvania and New York rounded out the top 10 states for farm bankruptcies.

A trade war between China and the United States, brutally low prices for commodity crops and increasingly unpredictable weather patterns have all contributed.

“Farm incomes have been down for a couple of years,” said John Newton, chief economist for the American Farm Bureau Federation.

For some, lease payments to a wind farm to put up a turbine increasingly provide a cushion against the harsh economics of farm life.

Across Kansas, wind turbine lease payments are $15 million to $20 million a year, according to the American Wind Energy Association. Nationally, it’s $250 million.

The money matters. About 180 miles south of Meridian Way is the Elk River Wind Farm. Pete Ferrell, 67, of unincorporated Butler County, said wind helped save the ranch, just as oil helped save it back in his father’s day.

“Dad allowed oil production here. There was a big drought in the 1950s. He said, ‘In all honesty, it was the money from the oil that got us through,’ ” he said.

To Ferrell, harvesting the almost constantly blowing Kansas wind is another way to make a living out of the land. Elk River’s 100 turbines sport enormous blades, each 125 feet long, that sit atop 260-foot towers.

From any distance away, they appear silent as the raw winter wind whips by. From directly underneath, their susurrations combine the sounds of flags snapping in a strong breeze and the whir of a rumbling ice cream maker. The nearby air fills with the electric motor thrum of the oil pump jacks they are interspersed with.

For Ferrell, leasing land for wind turbines is reminiscent of the side jobs and town jobs many farmers and ranchers have always needed to get by.

“I really wasn’t going to survive as a rancher without outside income, or I was going to work myself to death doing 15-hour days,” he said.

It’s that way across the Midwest, said Kerri Johannsen, energy program director with the Iowa Environmental Council. “It’s not so much about green energy at all, but economics.”

Iowa is a state that produces things from the land. She said wind is “just another crop, another opportunity to capture resources.”

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Congressional Democrats Join the Debate Over Plastics’ Booming Future

A new bill would impose a three-year moratorium on new plant construction in parts of Appalachia and the Gulf Coast.

James Bruggers

Construction at an ethene cracker plant on the Ohio River for making the building blocks of plastics. Credit: James Bruggers
Construction at an ethene cracker plant on the Ohio River for making the building blocks of plastics. Credit: James Bruggers

JAMES BRUGGERS reports for Inside Climate News

Towers and tanks rise from the banks of the Ohio River 25 miles northwest of Pittsburgh, where Shell Polymers plans to produce 1.6 million metric tons of plastic pellets annually. 

To the Trump administration, the petrochemical industry and regional economic development officials, this state-of-the-art petrochemical plant offers a glimpse of the new economy for a part of Appalachia devastated when the steel industry collapsed a generation ago.

Promoters of the Shell plant see it as the first among a number of new plastics manufacturers conveniently located amid thousands of fracking sites in the region’s Marcellus shale, a natural gas field that produces a massive amount of ethane. The gas is used in plastics production. 

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The sites would be tied together by an expanding network of natural gas wells, processing facilities, pipelines and a giant underground storage facility, potentially funded in part by $1.9 billion in Trump administration loan guarantees.

As industry and local authorities count thousands of new jobs and millions in tax revenues, battle lines have been drawn. Scientists warn of premature deaths from air pollution. Environmentalists foresee a plastics climate bomb. And now congressional Democrats have entered the fray, proposing a three-year moratorium on all new plastics plant construction nationwide, while the National Academy of Science studies the consequences of such a build-out on health and climate change. 

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Energy & Enviro Bills up on Monday in Trenton

Senate Environment and Energy Committee
 The following bills are posted for committee votes on Monday, February 24 in  Committee Room 6, 1st Floor, State House Annex, Trenton, NJ
S232 – Environmental permits in burdened communities-concerns
S331 – State House Complex-requires enviro-sustainability plan
S337 – School dist bldgs-NJ infrastructure Bank issue bonds to finance cost-effective improvements
S349 – Electric vehicle charging stations-developers offer an option in new home construction
S766 – Chloe’s Pet Access Law-permits dogs in outdoor seating areas of restaurants
S920 – Cats and other animals-prohibits surgical declawing
S1016 – Neonicotinoid pesticides-directs DEP to classify as a restricted use pesticide 

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Oil and Gas May Be a Far Bigger Climate Threat Than We Knew

Emissions from human activity like the burning of fossil fuels may have been sharply underestimated.
Emissions from human activity like the burning of fossil fuels may have been sharply underestimated. Photo Credit…Gabriella Demczuk for The New York Times

Hiroko Tabuchi reports for the New York Times

Oil and gas production may be responsible for a far larger share of the soaring levels of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, in the earth’s atmosphere than previously thought, new research has found.

The findings, published in the journal Nature, add urgency to efforts to rein in methane emissions from the fossil fuel industry, which routinely leaks or intentionally releases the gas into air.

“We’ve identified a gigantic discrepancy that shows the industry needs to, at the very least, improve their monitoring,” said Benjamin Hmiel, a researcher at the University of Rochester and the study’s lead author. “If these emissions are truly coming from oil, gas extraction, production use, the industry isn’t even reporting or seeing that right now.”

Atmospheric concentrations of methane have more than doubled from preindustrial times. A New York Times investigation into “super emitter” sites last year revealed vast quantities of methane being released from oil wells and other energy facilities instead of being captured.

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The extent to which fossil fuel emissions, as opposed to natural sources, are responsible for the rising methane levels has long been a matter of scientific debate. Methane seeps from the ocean bed, for instance, and also spews from land formations called mud volcanoes.

To shed light on the mystery, researchers at Rochester’s Department of Earth and Environmental Studies examined ice cores from Greenland, as well as data from Antarctica stretching back to about 1750, before the industrial revolution.

They found that methane emissions from natural phenomena were far smaller than estimates used to calculate global emissions. That means fossil-fuel emissions from human activity — namely the production and burning of fossil fuels — were underestimated by 25 to 40 percent, the researchers said.

The scientists were helped in their analysis by different isotopes found in methane emissions from natural sources, compared to emissions from the production of fossil fuels. Isotopes are versions of an element that have very slight differences, allowing the researchers to differentiate between them.

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